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Tsunami aircraft and transport

Will we have to abandon someone to its fate to save the salvable?

In the figures and statistics on air-passenger transport that continue to chase each other -AVIONEWS notes- among the agencies all over the world there is no longer a single positive figure. Everyone talks about decreases ranging from 90 to 100% of passenger air traffic. A problem that begins to become nagging is where to park the aircraft that no longer fly and how to keep them in efficiency (see news AVIONEWS).

A plane is not a car, if it is stationary it needs continuous maintenance and if the detention lasts longer than a month it is necessary to preserve certain components. IATA (International Air Transport Association, a global association that brings together the most important air transport companies), has published forecasts in which it estimates losses for the first half of 2020 at USD 39 bn and a drain of 61 billion dollars in the companies' liquidity reserves to continue holding standing structure without entrances. Until October, the European Union suspended the rules on airport slots that require airlines to fly even with empty planes in order not to lose their position.

According to some experts, more than USD 200 bn in loans and tax cuts are needed to save civil aviation and prevent the tsunami that is devastating it from affecting airport managers, the aeronautical industries and all related commercial activities as well as on large tourist bands. Many international experts now openly admit that the future will see many airlines fail, starting with the smaller ones. Already several days ago AVIONEWS had negatively commented on the desire to create a "MiniAlitalia" especially without adequate financial reserves. The unions' legitimate desires to create a thick company could also be of little value. Without adequate financial armor, no carrier will overcome the barrier of at least two years of difficulty, and the risk of bankruptcy, after the State has used so many resources, is very close.

Instead of the much reviled stew both for Alitalia and for Air Italy, it could lead to the forced sale of only assets with harmful effects on employment. Horrible forecasts also to be envisaged but which for professional ethics cannot be hidden.

A data that still many observers are not examining and which confirms the absolute negativity of the situation regards the demand for air travel. Some experts estimate that this downtime will result in social changes in our way of life. Many have enjoyed using the internet for work and will continue to use video conferencing rather than travelling. For the holidays, locations much closer and without the use of aircraft will be chosen. There are those who speak of a drop of more than 50% in the demand for air travel in Europe for the next two years. A hypothesis that if it materializes it would mean the disappearance of many companies unable to bear the consequent financial stress, which would probably become unbearable even for the State.

A real social revolution from which the aircraft and transport system will emerge differently. Whether it will be a favorable change for Italy depends solely on the political choices we will make in these months. Maybe, but hopefully not, as in the case of humans, some government will have to decide who to save based on the chances of survival, and someone or some company will be left to its fate ...

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AVIONEWS - World Aeronautical Press Agency